International Economic Forecast 2012-2013

I've described my international economic forecast over on my Forbes site, comparing my views to the recent International Monetary Fund World Economic Outlook, April 2012.  For a quick preview, consider the risks to the global economic outlook:

International Forecast

The height of the line shows the probability. "Muddle through" is the most likely scenario. Moving left, there's the risk of a war with Iran, and then an even greater risk that Europe flames out in a financial crisis. More details at