Political Outlook 2016
The most interesting pollster is Larry Sabato, who recently had this to say about the presidential candidates: … most of them are human tape recorders. On the top 25 or 30 issues, each has memorized …
Business Economics Posts On My Forbes.com Blog
Most of my work is going onto my Forbes.com blog. Here are my recent posts that have gotten a lot of attention: What's Next For The Stock Market After A Big Drop? Manufacturing Has Come …
Why I Don’t Watch TV News About The Economy
This is why I don't watch TV News. (Hat tip to Eric Fruits, Econ International Blog)
EASC Youtube 2015 03 v2
Join me at 2015 Economic Forecast, Economic Alliance Snohomish County, presented by Banner Bank on March 19. I’ll be joined by state economist Steve Lerch, and we’ll discuss the economic issues of great importance to …
Correlation and Causation: A Great Reminder
We've heard it (and I've said it) thousands of times: correlation does not mean causation. Yet we still make the mistake (and I do mean "we"). Tyler Vigen has developed a correlation machine. He has …
Western Building Materials Association 2014 Convention
The Western Building Materials Association will hold its 112th Annual Convention November 5-7, 2014, in Portland, Oregon. Dr. Bill Conerly, who will present the economic outlook, explains why attending this convention is a must for …
I Don’t Know What It Means: Hitchhiking Robot
The AP has a story about a robot hitchhiking across Canada. This seems very important, though I don't quite know what it all means.
Poor Countries, Rich Countries
My fellow Forbes.com contributor Ana Swanson asks the question, "Would You Rather Be Rich in a Poor Country, or Poor in a Rich Country?" Her article has some startling statistics. For example, the poorest five percent …
Housing Vacancy Improving
The housing market is improving, according to vacancy figures released today by the government. Forget "bank-owned" and what Realtors call "inventory." The best way to look at the housing market is to see how many …
Good News for Job-Seekers; Employers Get Ready for More Quits
The Bureau of Labor Statistics just announced an increase in the number of job openings. Coming on the heels of last week's announcement that total employment had regained the level held before the recession, this …
One Down Quarter for the Economy Is Not a Recession
The rough rule of thumb is that a recession has two or more consecutive quarters of declining real GDP.* Why not just one quarter? We have a good example of why not just one quarter …
Economic Forecast 2014-2015 on Video
My recent presentation for clients of Northwest Investment Counselors is available in (edited) video on their website: http://www.nwic.net/ under News & Events. Permalinks: Part 1 and Part 2.