Blog - Page 2 of 95 - Conerly Consulting

Most of Bill’s current writings appear on Forbes.com where he is a Senior Contributor.

15 Dec 2016

What State Government Can Do About Economic Uncertainty

Business Strategy Economy Public Policy

I testified before the Oregon legislature regarding uncertainty about the economy and state revenue forecast. The entire session, including two great fellow economists, Tim Duy and Andrew Dyke, can be seen here. Or watch just …

28 Nov 2016

Brexit and Donald Trump

Public Policy

One of the best explanations of free-trade motivations for Brexit is in this Reason interview with Daniel Hannan. This Englishman said, “Your founders had someone very like Donald Trump in mind when they designed all …

22 Nov 2016

Questions About Recessions

Business Strategy Economy

What will cause the next recession? In 2014 I wrote The Next Recession: Cause and Timing and said, “The Federal Reserve’s unwinding of its stimulus is the most likely cause of the next recession. For …

17 Nov 2016

Trump and the Future of ObamaCare

Economy Health Care

In my Forbes article, President Trump's Policies Will Likely Slow Economic Growth Over The Next Two Years, I expressed skepticism about Republican willingness to actually repeal Obamacare. Now the nation's top free-market health care expert …

2 May 2016

New Business Competitors: Lessons from Leicester City

Business Strategy

Is there a small competitor about to clean your business’s clock? Will your sales be Amazoned, iPhoned or Ubered? Is there a Leicester in your league? The Leicester City Football Club just won the Barclay’s …

1 Apr 2016

Get Ready for President Clinton

Business Strategy Economy Investments Public Policy

We're still months away from the election, but my favorite political forecaster, Larry Sabato, has drilled down to important realities in The Electoral College: The Only Thing That Matters. He notes that it's too early …

14 Feb 2016

Marriage Is Good For Your Heart (and other Valentine’s Day Statistics)

Economy Trial and Error Economy

Listen to yesterday's Prairie Home Companion song on romantic statistics: scroll down to "Statistics" after clicking here. Happy Valentine's Day, readers. Bill

10 Jan 2016

Are We In Recession Now?

Economy Recession

I often hear commentators saying that we are already in a recession. This could be the case because the data always come out with a time lag. The official arbiter of recessions, the Business Cycle …

17 Dec 2015

The Presidency and the Economy

Economy Public Policy

I don't incorporate much politics into my economic forecasts. I'm no better than average at predicting electoral outcomes. Even if I knew who was going to win, I wouldn't know what that person would do …

21 Oct 2015

What Corporate CEOs Need To Know About Big Data

Business Strategy Trial and Error Economy

Steve Levitt, author of Freakonomics, gave a presentation on big data in corporations. It should be watched by all CEOs and wanna-be CEOs. It's discouraging in that it shows many companies' unwillingness to use the …

18 Sep 2015

Data Junkies Need “Spreadsheet Tips From An Excel Addict”

As a guy who pushes numbers around, I've been a spreadsheet power user since the days of Lotus 1-2-3. But I've learned tons of new Excel tips in the past year by subscribing (for free) …

3 Sep 2015

Political Outlook 2016

Public Policy

The most interesting pollster is Larry Sabato, who recently had this to say about the presidential candidates: … most of them are human tape recorders. On the top 25 or 30 issues, each has memorized …