Economic Development Board of Tacoma-Pierce County Annual Meeting 2017
Dr. Bill Conerly will present his economic forecast at the annual meeting of the Economic Development Board of Tacoma-Pierce County on March 1, 2017.
Progress In The World Continues: A Juggling Example
Penn Jillette talks about the tech revolution in his Reason Magazine interview: I was one of the people talking at [the Massachusetts Institute of Technology] in the early '90s about how computers were going to …
What State Government Can Do About Economic Uncertainty
I testified before the Oregon legislature regarding uncertainty about the economy and state revenue forecast. The entire session, including two great fellow economists, Tim Duy and Andrew Dyke, can be seen here. Or watch just …
Brexit and Donald Trump
One of the best explanations of free-trade motivations for Brexit is in this Reason interview with Daniel Hannan. This Englishman said, “Your founders had someone very like Donald Trump in mind when they designed all …
Questions About Recessions
What will cause the next recession? In 2014 I wrote The Next Recession: Cause and Timing and said, “The Federal Reserve’s unwinding of its stimulus is the most likely cause of the next recession. For …
Trump and the Future of ObamaCare
In my Forbes article, President Trump's Policies Will Likely Slow Economic Growth Over The Next Two Years, I expressed skepticism about Republican willingness to actually repeal Obamacare. Now the nation's top free-market health care expert …
New Business Competitors: Lessons from Leicester City
Is there a small competitor about to clean your business’s clock? Will your sales be Amazoned, iPhoned or Ubered? Is there a Leicester in your league? The Leicester City Football Club just won the Barclay’s …
Get Ready for President Clinton
We're still months away from the election, but my favorite political forecaster, Larry Sabato, has drilled down to important realities in The Electoral College: The Only Thing That Matters. He notes that it's too early …
Marriage Is Good For Your Heart (and other Valentine’s Day Statistics)
Listen to yesterday's Prairie Home Companion song on romantic statistics: scroll down to "Statistics" after clicking here. Happy Valentine's Day, readers. Bill
Are We In Recession Now?
I often hear commentators saying that we are already in a recession. This could be the case because the data always come out with a time lag. The official arbiter of recessions, the Business Cycle …
The Presidency and the Economy
I don't incorporate much politics into my economic forecasts. I'm no better than average at predicting electoral outcomes. Even if I knew who was going to win, I wouldn't know what that person would do …
What Corporate CEOs Need To Know About Big Data
Steve Levitt, author of Freakonomics, gave a presentation on big data in corporations. It should be watched by all CEOs and wanna-be CEOs. It's discouraging in that it shows many companies' unwillingness to use the …