Blog - Page 2 of 95 - Conerly Consulting

Most of Bill’s current writings appear on Forbes.com where he is a Senior Contributor.

8 Mar 2017

What If Trump’s and Clinton’s Genders Were Reversed: Who Would Have Won the Debates?

Blog

That's the intriguing question asked by a New York University team. Their project, called Her Opponent, was to stage a debate using the words and gestures of the candidates, but portrayed by people of opposite sexes.

25 Feb 2017

Kenneth Arrow

Blog

This obituary of Kenneth Arrow is worth reading by anyone interested in economics or ideas in general. Much of mathematical economics promises far more than it delivers, but Arrow's work has proved to be of enduring value.

23 Jan 2017

NFDA PacWest Joint Meeting 2017 03

Featured Promotional Videos Video

Dr. Bill Conerly will present the economic outlook to the Joint Conference of National Fastener Distributors Association and Pacific-West Fastener Association in Long Beach, California on March 15-18, 2017.

19 Jan 2017

Economic Development Board of Tacoma-Pierce County Annual Meeting 2017

Promotional Videos Video

Dr. Bill Conerly will present his economic forecast at the annual meeting of the Economic Development Board of Tacoma-Pierce County on March 1, 2017.

22 Dec 2016

Progress In The World Continues: A Juggling Example

Penn Jillette talks about the tech revolution in his Reason Magazine interview: I was one of the people talking at [the Massachusetts Institute of Technology] in the early '90s about how computers were going to …

15 Dec 2016

What State Government Can Do About Economic Uncertainty

Business Strategy Economy Public Policy

I testified before the Oregon legislature regarding uncertainty about the economy and state revenue forecast. The entire session, including two great fellow economists, Tim Duy and Andrew Dyke, can be seen here. Or watch just …

28 Nov 2016

Brexit and Donald Trump

Public Policy

One of the best explanations of free-trade motivations for Brexit is in this Reason interview with Daniel Hannan. This Englishman said, “Your founders had someone very like Donald Trump in mind when they designed all …

22 Nov 2016

Questions About Recessions

Business Strategy Economy

What will cause the next recession? In 2014 I wrote The Next Recession: Cause and Timing and said, “The Federal Reserve’s unwinding of its stimulus is the most likely cause of the next recession. For …

17 Nov 2016

Trump and the Future of ObamaCare

Economy Health Care

In my Forbes article, President Trump's Policies Will Likely Slow Economic Growth Over The Next Two Years, I expressed skepticism about Republican willingness to actually repeal Obamacare. Now the nation's top free-market health care expert …

2 May 2016

New Business Competitors: Lessons from Leicester City

Business Strategy

Is there a small competitor about to clean your business’s clock? Will your sales be Amazoned, iPhoned or Ubered? Is there a Leicester in your league? The Leicester City Football Club just won the Barclay’s …

1 Apr 2016

Get Ready for President Clinton

Business Strategy Economy Investments Public Policy

We're still months away from the election, but my favorite political forecaster, Larry Sabato, has drilled down to important realities in The Electoral College: The Only Thing That Matters. He notes that it's too early …

14 Feb 2016

Marriage Is Good For Your Heart (and other Valentine’s Day Statistics)

Economy Trial and Error Economy

Listen to yesterday's Prairie Home Companion song on romantic statistics: scroll down to "Statistics" after clicking here. Happy Valentine's Day, readers. Bill